GetEdgeData

NFL · NBA · MLB · NHL · WNBA

Daily Sports Model EV Forecast

Active picks
105
Live
0
Awaiting result
33
Pending
72

How the model finds edge

  1. Stage 0101

    Probability curves

    Our models simulate every matchup to build a true win-probability curve, independent of public sentiment and bookmaker margin.

  2. Stage 0202
    Market
    52%
    Model
    58%
    +6.0 pts edge

    Price discrepancy

    We compare the model probability to the probability implied by the market price, isolating outcomes the market underprices.

  3. Stage 0303

    Kelly-sized value

    Edge is weighted with conservative fractional-Kelly math, so rankings reward value and bankroll discipline, not just big prices.

Top model forecastshighest EV per sport

NHLawaiting resulttotal

Under +6.5

Ducks @ Canucks

Nov 3, 21:00 ET

56%Win
Odds
45
EV
0.05%

Model forecasts105/105

Slate EV distribution · 105 forecasts
0 Prime(≥ 1.00)2 Strong(0.50–0.99)103 Moderate(< 0.50)
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